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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

data as of 2026-02-21 07:03 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.0K−$12K$16K
Holders371+189182
Trades2.3K+8051.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate32.2%
−29.7 pp
61.9%
Avg ROI3.3%
+3.6 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.36
+8.57×
×0.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.36
+8.54×
×0.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.5K
−$6.4K
$10.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.2%
−116.4 pp
26.2%
Underwater %96.1%
+96.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %66.5%
+2.3 pp
64.2%
Bot %65.5%
+1.5 pp
64.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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