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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

data as of 2026-06-21 21:54 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.5K−$13K$17K
Holders254+36218
Trades1.8K+1201.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.8%
−4.4 pp
54.2%
Avg ROI1.8%
+0.0 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.43
+3.59×
×0.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.06
+4.21×
×0.84
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.0K
−$12.7K
$16.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.04
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-79.2%
−98.7 pp
19.5%
Underwater %94.8%
+93.3 pp
1.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.6%
−3.2 pp
60.8%
Bot %67.8%
−1.1 pp
68.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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