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Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 47°F or below on May 25?

data as of 2026-05-23 07:32 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$186−$2.7K$2.9K
Holders43+1429
Trades400+120280
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate23.5%
−60.0 pp
83.5%
Avg ROI81.1%
+79.5 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×61.20
+60.27×
×0.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×43.95
+43.02×
×0.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$119
−$1.6K
$1.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.04
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.0%
−105.3 pp
7.3%
Underwater %81.7%
+81.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %84.3%
+6.0 pp
78.3%
Bot %44.8%
−30.5 pp
75.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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