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Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 21-27?

data as of 2026-04-20 09:50 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$112K+$112K$203
Holders1.4K+1.4K27
Trades1.9K+1.5K306
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.4%
+30.2 pp
27.2%
Avg ROI9.1%
−74.2 pp
83.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.80
−0.50×
×1.29
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.80
−0.46×
×1.26
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$28
−$29
$1
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL24.8%
+45.8 pp
-20.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−10.2 pp
10.2%
Bot %0.0%
−10.2 pp
10.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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