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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

data as of 2026-02-05 19:15 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$62K−$48K$110K
Holders496+38458
Trades12K+1.5K11K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.6%
−6.5 pp
54.1%
Avg ROI3.0%
+1.7 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.72
+17.09×
×0.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.18
+17.54×
×0.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$20.0K
−$15.6K
$35.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.81
−0.05
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.5%
−154.8 pp
60.3%
Underwater %99.0%
+99.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.9%
−2.8 pp
84.7%
Bot %81.7%
−1.2 pp
82.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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