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XRP Up or Down - July 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

data as of 2026-07-12 08:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$198−$0$198
Holders27+918
Trades104+3668
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.1%
+0.9 pp
51.2%
Avg ROI0.6%
+1.0 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.64
+11.84×
×0.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.53
+15.75×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$43
−$113
$155
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.08
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.2%
−123.5 pp
29.3%
Underwater %91.8%
+91.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %33.7%
−16.2 pp
49.9%
Bot %32.5%
−18.2 pp
50.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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