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Will Gina Hinojosa win the 2026 Texas Governor Democratic primary election?

data as of 2026-03-03 21:35 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$4.2K+$4.0K$185
Holders48−1563
Trades197−118315
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate76.1%
+31.6 pp
44.5%
Avg ROI4.6%
+1.7 pp
3.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.97
−2.14×
×3.11
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.96
−2.41×
×3.37
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$142
+$140
$2
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.00
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL3.9%
+79.9 pp
-76.0%
Underwater %14.2%
−78.0 pp
92.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.1%
−31.5 pp
37.6%
Bot %6.1%
−32.0 pp
38.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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