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Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $117K on July 18?

data as of 2025-07-18 15:41 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$8.0K−$75K$83K
Holders141+7071
Trades1.3K−291.3K
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.2%
−19.5 pp
66.7%
Avg ROI0.6%
−0.9 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×30.84
+29.93×
×0.91
Top-20 avg cost vs price×33.70
+32.79×
×0.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$1
−$57
$56
Recent buyer dominance0.39
−0.16
0.54
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.0%
−106.0 pp
9.0%
Underwater %99.1%
+99.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %36.2%
−28.3 pp
64.5%
Bot %36.0%
−28.7 pp
64.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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