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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

data as of 2026-07-08 06:30 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.4K−$928$10K
Holders167+33134
Trades1.8K+871.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.9%
+0.3 pp
49.6%
Avg ROI4.4%
+3.0 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×40.32
+39.76×
×0.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×40.46
+39.88×
×0.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.1K
+$2.6K
$1.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.04
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.5%
−167.2 pp
69.7%
Underwater %99.1%
+99.1 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %51.1%
−4.0 pp
55.1%
Bot %64.1%
−7.2 pp
71.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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