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Will Elon tweet 120–134 times June 27–July 4?

data as of 2025-07-01 02:43 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$11K−$148K$160K
Holders328−10338
Trades3.7K+1.7K2.0K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.4%
−24.7 pp
63.1%
Avg ROI1.2%
−1.3 pp
2.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.72
+6.88×
×0.84
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.74
+5.89×
×0.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$86
$87
Recent buyer dominance0.67
−0.33
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.0%
−107.1 pp
18.1%
Underwater %93.9%
+93.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %16.1%
−35.7 pp
51.7%
Bot %17.2%
−38.9 pp
56.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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