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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-02 10:58 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.8K+$5.8K$3.0K
Holders108−17125
Trades970−761.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.5%
+4.8 pp
49.7%
Avg ROI-0.7%
−0.3 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.81
−6.94×
×7.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.79
−6.67×
×7.46
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.8K
+$3.3K
$521
Recent buyer dominance0.85
−0.11
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL27.6%
+115.9 pp
-88.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.8 pp
99.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.9%
+2.0 pp
66.9%
Bot %73.8%
+1.9 pp
71.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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