Markets › detail

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 15:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K+$447$23K
Holders568+145423
Trades4.8K+8454.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.8%
−8.2 pp
56.0%
Avg ROI5.4%
+3.7 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×43.30
+42.78×
×0.52
Top-20 avg cost vs price×40.34
+39.73×
×0.60
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.6K
−$3.7K
$20.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.02
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.6%
−175.5 pp
77.8%
Underwater %98.4%
+91.0 pp
7.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.2%
−3.6 pp
28.8%
Bot %35.7%
−7.6 pp
43.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse