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Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

data as of 2026-06-20 22:06 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 1, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
2¢
NO
98¢
YES
2¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.7K−$84K$87K
Holders95−34129
Trades916−2361.2K
NO
98¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.2%
−20.6 pp
66.9%
Avg ROI5.8%
−6.5 pp
12.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.97
+1.07×
×0.90
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.50
+2.59×
×0.91
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$22
+$592
−$571
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.91
0.09
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-68.6%
−77.8 pp
9.2%
Underwater %98.8%
+97.6 pp
1.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %11.6%
−14.0 pp
25.6%
Bot %20.9%
−6.5 pp
27.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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