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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

data as of 2026-05-12 12:43 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$19K+$5.0K$14K
Holders189−25214
Trades2.4K+452.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate63.1%
+15.1 pp
48.1%
Avg ROI0.1%
−0.6 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.53
−45.95×
×46.49
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.57
−42.97×
×43.54
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.9K
+$6.7K
$231
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.06
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL75.6%
+173.4 pp
-97.7%
Underwater %9.2%
−86.3 pp
95.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.3%
−0.6 pp
73.8%
Bot %78.1%
−1.5 pp
79.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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