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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

data as of 2026-04-16 22:45 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K+$6.9K$11K
Holders315−73388
Trades3.1K−4153.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.3%
+4.9 pp
49.4%
Avg ROI1.4%
−4.5 pp
5.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.64
−18.41×
×19.05
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.64
−17.87×
×18.52
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.8K
+$6.0K
$7.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.07
0.82
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL56.0%
+150.5 pp
-94.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.3%
−1.0 pp
65.3%
Bot %68.8%
−6.0 pp
74.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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