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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

data as of 2026-02-07 00:59 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Up🗓️ settles Feb 7, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
UP
99¢
DOWN
0¢
UP
99¢
UpU-DDown
Position$97K+$86K$12K
Holders302−138440
Trades5.8K−1365.9K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate66.9%
+36.9 pp
30.0%
Avg ROI0.9%
−12.3 pp
13.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.83
−16.67×
×17.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.85
−30.45×
×31.30
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$22.9K
+$22.4K
$510
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.02
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL19.2%
+116.1 pp
-96.9%
Underwater %0.5%
−99.5 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %80.7%
+20.0 pp
60.7%
Bot %80.0%
+19.5 pp
60.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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