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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

data as of 2026-07-03 08:20 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K+$6.0K$16K
Holders372−14386
Trades2.4K−3802.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.1%
−7.1 pp
54.2%
Avg ROI3.6%
+3.4 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×23.71
+23.31×
×0.40
Top-20 avg cost vs price×21.91
+21.47×
×0.44
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$22.2K
+$8.2K
$13.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.04
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.3%
−224.2 pp
128.9%
Underwater %93.9%
+84.2 pp
9.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.8%
+5.9 pp
40.9%
Bot %59.6%
+7.6 pp
52.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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