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Will AZ win on 2026-05-10?

data as of 2026-05-10 16:38 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.8K−$3.7K$7.5K
Holders65−1782
Trades296−86382
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.3%
−17.8 pp
56.1%
Avg ROI2.8%
+0.3 pp
2.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.83
+3.10×
×0.73
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.82
+4.10×
×0.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$20
−$284
$305
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.34
0.66
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-79.1%
−117.7 pp
38.6%
Underwater %99.8%
+98.4 pp
1.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %36.8%
−36.5 pp
73.3%
Bot %39.7%
−38.2 pp
77.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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