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Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

data as of 2026-05-21 01:32 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$155−$8.6K$8.7K
Holders51−758
Trades610+343267
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.4%
−52.1 pp
86.5%
Avg ROI49.9%
+49.1 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.48
+1.49×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.07
+2.08×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$239
$240
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-68.7%
−70.2 pp
1.4%
Underwater %79.6%
+77.7 pp
1.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %14.1%
−20.4 pp
34.5%
Bot %11.6%
−25.5 pp
37.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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