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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

data as of 2026-02-13 23:15 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K−$35K$54K
Holders481+157324
Trades7.2K−397.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.0%
−18.3 pp
55.2%
Avg ROI-8.6%
−9.8 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.59
+8.89×
×0.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.27
+8.57×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.9K
−$6.7K
$12.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.83
+0.07
0.76
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.5%
−133.8 pp
44.3%
Underwater %98.7%
+98.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.3%
−24.9 pp
80.2%
Bot %54.2%
−25.1 pp
79.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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