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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11AM ET

data as of 2026-07-03 15:46 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Down🗓️ settles Jul 3, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
UP
2¢
DOWN
98¢
UP
2¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.4K−$5.5K$12K
Holders85−1196
Trades1.1K+227845
DOWN
98¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.5%
−1.6 pp
51.1%
Avg ROI4.6%
+5.6 pp
-1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.08
+16.40×
×0.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.39
+13.68×
×0.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$40
−$2.3K
$2.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.77
+0.01
0.76
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.7%
−136.2 pp
42.5%
Underwater %97.1%
+96.7 pp
0.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %62.9%
−2.0 pp
64.8%
Bot %63.0%
−3.5 pp
66.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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