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Will Smash Into Pieces win Melodifestivalen 2026?

data as of 2026-02-23 13:25 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$393−$8.3K$8.7K
Holders62−54116
Trades720+400320
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.3%
−11.2 pp
62.4%
Avg ROI7.7%
+6.7 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.37
+1.40×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.65
+1.70×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9
−$165
$174
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-61.3%
−67.2 pp
5.9%
Underwater %88.2%
+88.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %36.8%
−28.8 pp
65.6%
Bot %36.8%
−28.8 pp
65.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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