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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

data as of 2025-09-20 16:31 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$270−$748$1.0K
Holders6−17
Trades32+1418
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.1%
−47.8 pp
81.9%
Avg ROI19.4%
+24.7 pp
-5.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.02
−0.09×
×1.11
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.35
+0.31×
×1.03
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$40
−$775
$815
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-25.7%
−22.7 pp
-3.1%
Underwater %79.6%
+22.2 pp
57.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %50.7%
+7.1 pp
43.6%
Bot %49.7%
+7.1 pp
42.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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