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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

data as of 2026-06-22 23:43 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.9K−$2.2K$4.2K
Holders107+1295
Trades913+209704
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.6%
−2.5 pp
53.1%
Avg ROI0.4%
−2.5 pp
3.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.89
+6.15×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.77
+6.02×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$558
−$1.1K
$1.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.08
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-85.4%
−121.2 pp
35.8%
Underwater %94.6%
+94.5 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.3%
+3.8 pp
68.5%
Bot %80.1%
+2.0 pp
78.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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