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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

data as of 2026-07-12 23:09 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K+$11K$11K
Holders3340334
Trades2.9K−913.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.4%
+2.8 pp
51.5%
Avg ROI2.5%
−1.1 pp
3.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×29.05
+28.70×
×0.34
Top-20 avg cost vs price×30.48
+30.17×
×0.31
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$20.9K
+$12.1K
$8.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.11
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.6%
−288.2 pp
191.6%
Underwater %95.1%
+95.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.4%
−3.6 pp
39.1%
Bot %57.8%
−2.9 pp
60.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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