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Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $485-$490 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 29 – Jan 2?

data as of 2026-01-02 02:30 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$21−$2.7K$2.8K
Holders30+525
Trades71+3041
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate10.3%
−76.7 pp
87.0%
Avg ROI320.3%
+320.4 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.42
+6.43×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$1.1K
$1.1K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-86.5%
−87.2 pp
0.7%
Underwater %43.9%
+15.6 pp
28.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %17.8%
−39.6 pp
57.5%
Bot %19.0%
−41.4 pp
60.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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