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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

data as of 2026-06-26 20:19 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K+$15K$5.8K
Holders211−112323
Trades1.6K−6672.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.9%
−0.1 pp
50.0%
Avg ROI1.1%
+0.5 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.81
−10.70×
×11.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.80
−9.56×
×10.36
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.7K
+$11.2K
$5.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.04
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL24.7%
+115.8 pp
-91.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.9 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %51.8%
+2.1 pp
49.7%
Bot %65.4%
+6.8 pp
58.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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