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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

data as of 2026-04-01 03:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$26K+$21K$5.3K
Holders192−53245
Trades1.6K−4622.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.2%
+10.3 pp
47.9%
Avg ROI-0.7%
−0.9 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.82
−17.10×
×17.92
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.80
−12.53×
×13.32
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.8K
+$3.4K
$464
Recent buyer dominance0.78
−0.13
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL24.0%
+118.8 pp
-94.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−94.4 pp
94.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %79.5%
+12.8 pp
66.7%
Bot %79.6%
+13.1 pp
66.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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