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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

data as of 2026-06-04 12:22 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$26K+$20K$5.4K
Holders248−67315
Trades1.8K−4222.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.9%
+3.7 pp
50.2%
Avg ROI1.5%
−0.1 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.74
−11.89×
×12.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.73
−11.46×
×12.19
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.6K
+$10.5K
$5.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL38.7%
+131.0 pp
-92.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.7 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.5%
+3.0 pp
52.5%
Bot %72.0%
+10.0 pp
62.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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