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Will Apple dip to $244 in January?

data as of 2026-01-20 21:02 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$303−$882$1.2K
Holders10−2333
Trades74+1955
NO
0¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.7%
+24.3 pp
34.4%
Avg ROI18.4%
−88.0 pp
106.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.25
−1.74×
×1.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.36
−87.94×
×88.29
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$93
+$76
$17
Recent buyer dominance0.66
−0.34
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL234.1%
+333.0 pp
-98.9%
Underwater %20.6%
−62.1 pp
82.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %7.6%
−53.8 pp
61.4%
Bot %9.5%
−51.9 pp
61.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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