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Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 11?

data as of 2026-05-11 11:54 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$509−$2.7K$3.2K
Holders107−28135
Trades484+86398
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.1%
−33.0 pp
74.1%
Avg ROI3.8%
+3.9 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×38.73
+37.84×
×0.89
Top-20 avg cost vs price×42.00
+41.11×
×0.88
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14
−$361
$374
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.20
0.79
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.8%
−112.6 pp
14.8%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %14.0%
−3.0 pp
17.0%
Bot %19.1%
+2.3 pp
16.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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