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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-15 19:39 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.6K+$2.6K$3.0K
Holders92+686
Trades680−119799
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.1%
+1.2 pp
51.0%
Avg ROI2.9%
+0.4 pp
2.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.83
−3.60×
×4.44
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.83
−3.65×
×4.48
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.2K
+$1.8K
$1.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.01
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL22.0%
+100.2 pp
-78.1%
Underwater %1.7%
−98.3 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %44.7%
−1.8 pp
46.6%
Bot %66.8%
+3.9 pp
62.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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