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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

data as of 2026-02-20 17:08 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$48K$59K
Holders452+122330
Trades4.2K+2724.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.5%
−22.4 pp
57.9%
Avg ROI7.6%
+9.4 pp
-1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.10
+8.41×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.56
+7.88×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.2K
−$8.5K
$18.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
+0.02
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.0%
−136.7 pp
47.7%
Underwater %96.0%
+96.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.1%
−7.8 pp
72.9%
Bot %63.3%
−6.6 pp
69.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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