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Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 15?

data as of 2026-05-15 04:44 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$157−$2.8K$3.0K
Holders67−2390
Trades435+80355
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate31.5%
−44.0 pp
75.5%
Avg ROI13.1%
+13.1 pp
-0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.03
+1.04×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.08
+2.12×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5
−$236
$241
Recent buyer dominance0.88
+0.11
0.77
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-71.0%
−75.6 pp
4.5%
Underwater %91.9%
+91.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %33.2%
+20.7 pp
12.4%
Bot %39.6%
+27.3 pp
12.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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