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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-09 23:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.1K−$3.3K$6.3K
Holders122+12110
Trades959+63896
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.9%
−5.6 pp
50.5%
Avg ROI4.1%
+2.8 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×29.65
+29.02×
×0.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×26.77
+26.12×
×0.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$778
−$1.4K
$2.2K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.15
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.5%
−151.8 pp
55.3%
Underwater %93.7%
+93.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.7%
+0.3 pp
42.5%
Bot %49.1%
−12.6 pp
61.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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