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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

data as of 2026-03-12 16:08 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K−$77K$92K
Holders467+125342
Trades4.0K+5833.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.5%
−36.2 pp
71.7%
Avg ROI2.3%
+4.5 pp
-2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×24.99
+24.22×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×26.35
+25.56×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14.6K
−$20.8K
$35.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.7%
−124.8 pp
29.1%
Underwater %97.2%
+97.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %79.5%
+4.5 pp
75.0%
Bot %76.5%
+1.4 pp
75.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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