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Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on July 6?

data as of 2026-07-06 17:04 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 6, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
31¢
NO
52¢
YES
31¢
YesY-NNo
Position$32+$18$14
Holders8+71
Trades20+191
NO
52¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.7%
−2.6 pp
53.3%
Avg ROI6.4%
+2.5 pp
3.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.84
−0.16×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.65
−0.35×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$14
$14
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL53.8%
+53.8 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %9.6%
+9.6 pp
0.0%
Bot %9.6%
+9.6 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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