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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8AM ET

data as of 2026-03-22 12:33 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$46K+$37K$8.7K
Holders165−5170
Trades1.7K−3402.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.7%
+5.8 pp
51.9%
Avg ROI0.6%
+0.1 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.80
−12.65×
×13.45
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.77
−11.64×
×12.41
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$719
+$668
$51
Recent buyer dominance0.85
+0.10
0.75
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL31.7%
+123.5 pp
-91.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.7 pp
98.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.0%
−4.1 pp
68.2%
Bot %64.0%
−3.6 pp
67.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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