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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-25 01:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.7K−$3.4K$9.1K
Holders332+101231
Trades1.8K+6661.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.9%
−7.5 pp
54.5%
Avg ROI2.0%
+1.7 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×33.82
+33.14×
×0.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×34.46
+33.80×
×0.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.5K
−$2.9K
$8.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.03
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.8%
−144.0 pp
47.2%
Underwater %99.4%
+99.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.4%
+2.2 pp
26.2%
Bot %51.4%
−2.6 pp
54.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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