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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

data as of 2026-04-04 00:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.8K−$11K$17K
Holders320+43277
Trades3.0K+3362.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.9%
−15.8 pp
55.7%
Avg ROI1.8%
+2.9 pp
-1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.00
+13.22×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.44
+10.65×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.2K
−$7.2K
$12.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.04
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.0%
−122.3 pp
30.2%
Underwater %99.5%
+99.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.7%
−7.6 pp
73.3%
Bot %65.8%
−7.7 pp
73.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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