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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-18 22:27 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.0K−$1.9K$4.8K
Holders117+1899
Trades868−51919
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.2%
−5.4 pp
54.6%
Avg ROI-0.1%
−1.5 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×38.56
+37.86×
×0.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×35.12
+34.43×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$239
−$1.9K
$2.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.11
0.81
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.3%
−139.7 pp
42.3%
Underwater %98.2%
+93.6 pp
4.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.5%
−0.2 pp
38.7%
Bot %47.1%
−7.1 pp
54.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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