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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

data as of 2026-03-08 23:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K−$25K$40K
Holders426+120306
Trades5.5K+7394.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.2%
−17.8 pp
55.0%
Avg ROI1.8%
+1.6 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×26.81
+26.12×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×26.59
+25.89×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.3K
−$13.7K
$29.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.00
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.0%
−141.8 pp
45.8%
Underwater %96.3%
+96.1 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %80.7%
−0.3 pp
81.0%
Bot %80.1%
−1.8 pp
81.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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