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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

data as of 2026-03-21 04:10 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$44K+$23K$21K
Holders398−108506
Trades5.6K−1.3K6.9K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.2%
+10.9 pp
47.3%
Avg ROI6.3%
+3.9 pp
2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.67
−33.59×
×34.26
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.64
−34.99×
×35.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$30.7K
+$13.9K
$16.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.85
−0.04
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL54.3%
+151.3 pp
-97.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.7 pp
98.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.9%
−5.8 pp
65.7%
Bot %53.3%
−12.7 pp
66.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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