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Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in August?

data as of 2025-08-01 18:59 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$225−$228$453
Holders13+76
Trades41−1455
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.6%
+1.9 pp
45.8%
Avg ROI0.2%
−6.7 pp
6.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.05
+0.05×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.04
+0.04×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$9
$9
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-3.9%
−3.9 pp
0.0%
Underwater %60.8%
+60.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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