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Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 16?

data as of 2026-04-16 18:17 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$649−$7.6K$8.2K
Holders128+7121
Trades1.3K+490837
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.8%
−36.8 pp
80.7%
Avg ROI18.7%
+18.8 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×39.08
+38.11×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×65.33
+64.37×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$614
$616
Recent buyer dominance0.84
+0.02
0.81
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.5%
−104.4 pp
5.9%
Underwater %97.5%
+96.1 pp
1.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %19.4%
−3.8 pp
23.2%
Bot %19.2%
−0.8 pp
20.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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