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Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 4?

data as of 2026-06-28 08:09 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 4, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
5¢
NO
95¢
YES
5¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3−$13$16
Holders101
Trades3+21
NO
95¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate66.1%
−24.9 pp
91.0%
Avg ROI1.8%
+4.6 pp
-2.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.14
+0.14×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.14
+0.14×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$15
$16
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-12.3%
−12.3 pp
-0.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+0.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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