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Will Michael Olise win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

data as of 2026-06-13 16:22 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 20, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
19¢
NO
81¢
YES
19¢
YesY-NNo
Position$301−$1.6K$1.9K
Holders31+229
Trades95+6431
NO
81¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate61.9%
+8.8 pp
53.1%
Avg ROI0.0%
−4.9 pp
4.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.05
+0.06×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.04
+0.05×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$687
−$2.1K
$2.8K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-3.4%
−4.6 pp
1.2%
Underwater %85.6%
+84.4 pp
1.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %8.0%
+6.4 pp
1.6%
Bot %8.9%
+7.0 pp
1.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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