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XRP Up or Down - July 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-15 22:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$267−$152$419
Holders30+525
Trades113−10123
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.5%
−20.1 pp
59.6%
Avg ROI5.5%
+4.1 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×38.01
+37.14×
×0.87
Top-20 avg cost vs price×31.66
+30.86×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$30
−$254
$284
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.21
0.73
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.9%
−134.1 pp
37.2%
Underwater %86.0%
+81.7 pp
4.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %60.3%
+41.4 pp
18.9%
Bot %62.0%
+34.1 pp
27.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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