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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-21 13:49 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.4K+$1.4K$2.0K
Holders68−1381
Trades333−115448
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.1%
+5.1 pp
46.0%
Avg ROI1.1%
−1.5 pp
2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.65
−4.29×
×4.94
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.68
−4.23×
×4.90
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.3K
+$595
$1.7K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.03
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL46.1%
+127.4 pp
-81.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.8%
+17.0 pp
42.8%
Bot %68.3%
+21.1 pp
47.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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