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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

data as of 2025-12-16 11:15 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$29K−$57K$86K
Holders234−25259
Trades4.7K−6125.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.3%
−32.6 pp
81.9%
Avg ROI2.1%
+6.9 pp
-4.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×35.96
+35.35×
×0.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×35.30
+34.62×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.3K
−$38.6K
$40.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.82
−0.06
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.0%
−140.4 pp
43.4%
Underwater %98.1%
+96.5 pp
1.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.6%
+24.2 pp
33.4%
Bot %59.5%
+24.2 pp
35.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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